Friday, September 24, 2010

The No Huddle Episode 10-03

Well, I guessed right, but with the wrong player. You may recall from episode 10-01 with Costaki, I drafted Chargers RB Darren Sproles late, because I just wasn’t sold on rookie Ryan Mathews. Mathews is indeed nursing a high ankle sprain, but it’s Mike Tolbert who will likely get the bulk of the carries. Fortunately, I picked up Tolbert late last Sunday night. If you don’t have transaction limits, get on that waiver wire early gang.

That being said about Mathews, Javid Best of the Lions is looking like the real deal in his first season. Oddly, people are staying away from the Lions at Minnesota, but I would look closely at those match-ups. The Vikings are not playing well, and the Lions were a blown call away from beating the Bears last week. Still no word on who will actually start at QB for Detroit, but as Josh Sneed pointed out on the podcast, WR Calvin Johnson can catch the ball no matter who throws it.

Speaking of throwing, QB Michael Vick will start for Philadelphia in place of Kevin Kolb. According to the Philadelphia Daily News Vick will be the starter from here on out. Wild.

Reggie Bush is out 4-6 weeks, as you probably know by now. Look at Peyton Hillis of the Browns as a possible pick-up on your waiver wire. Keep an eye on the Jets and LaDanlian Tomlinson. Shonn Greene is still the starter, and may be for a while longer, but Tomlinson will no doubt continue to amass points. Knowshon Moreno is out too. Beanie Wells looks to be back at full strength, but is in a committee situation with Tim Hightower.

What do you do about WRs Terrell Owens and Cha Ochocinco? That Bengal offense has got to get on track. TE Jermaine Gresham seems to be getting more involved in the Cincinnati attack, as Palmer tries to find a safety valve from opposing pass rushers. If you need a middle tier TE, he’s a good bet.

In most leagues, the Giants WR Hakeem Nicks is the leading point getter, and plays against Tennessee this Sunday. Even with the sub-par play of Eli manning, Hicks still gets the points.Miles Austin, no surprise is number two. Beyond that, WRs are still in flux. In Indy, Austin Collie is almost dead-even with the very great Reggie Wayne.

Do not look for big offensive numbers from the Ravens. The D should do well, of course, but Their opponent, the Browns, simply cannot move the ball, particularly in the second half. Their D has actually been fairly solid, giving up yards, but not points. They may grow tired of being on the field so much though.

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Saturday, September 18, 2010

The No Huddle Episode 10-02

What do you do if you’re a sports fan, but not a big NFL person, yet still want to have a go at fantasy football? If you’re Chris Dennis, you hire a coach!

I’ve seen people do this before, and if you’re new to the whole experience, it’s usually a pretty good move. Unfortunately, Chris and her coach Kevin Ward are off to a rocky start having scored the fewest points in our league in week one. This was due in large part to some truly underwhelming performances by WR Andre Johnson and RB Shonn Greene. She was going to bench them both this week in favor of WR Austin Collie and RB Darren McFadden. Instead, Johnson will go after all, while WR Robert Meacham, who dropped a pass in the Thursday opener, will sit.

Elsewhere: As predicted, Drew Brees put up nice numbers, but, also as predicted, he spread the ball around so much, his WRs produced little fantasy value. On the other side of the field, Brett Favre had a horrendous night, while top pick RB Arian Peterson managed only 87 yards and no TDs. Arian Foster of the Texans of course was the week’s MVP, by far, cranking out 231 rushing yards and 3 TDs.

Looking ahead to this Sunday, there’s a lot of talk about the Jets/Patriots game. I have Tom Brady, and I am starting him over Derek Anderson and Matt Ryan (whose teams play each other). I don’t think Brady will light it up against the Jets, but I think he’s still a safe bet to have a decent game. 150, maybe 200 yards and a TD.

I picked up WR Legadu Naanee because I could. WRs seem to be in short supply early on, so maybe I can trade for a solid RB in the coming weeks. That committee deal in New York with the Giants is not working out for me. I have Jacobs, but it looks like Bradshaw is going to get most of the touches, especially in the red zone.

I don’t see a lot of toss-ups as far starting rosters go. WR Chad Ochocino vs. the Ravens D is an example. Your starters are your starters. I do like TE Tony Gonzalez at home against the Cardinals.

How about Michael Vick? When this week’s podcast dropped, he was only on 24% of the teams in Yahoo! As of this blog entry it’s up to 65%, which still seems kind of low. The guy that picked him up in our league is a dog lover, so I don’t think that’s the problem. I’m not trying to be funny at all. Not like I was when wrote for The Gary Burbank Show, and called in as Jim Rome. Anyway, I was wondering why, at the beginning of the week, when it looked pretty certain that Kolb wouldn’t be starting, people weren’t grabbing Vick. I have two good back-ups, and am starting Brady as I said, but good QBs are still in short supply. I don’t think a lot of other teams have that luxury.

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Wednesday, September 1, 2010

The No Huddle Episode 10-P1 Blog

The No Huddle, Episode 10-P1, Season preview with special guest Paul Mecurio

Grab your cheat sheet, and as Mr. Food used to say, “any brands are fine,” then print up this draft strategy guide.

Look at your leagues previous records. If you’re joining an existing league, the website they are using likely has this feature. It’s a good way to see what kinds of players are successful in that particular league.

Forget pre-season. Except for injuries and the final depth-charts. Period. I always think I’m going to get some insight by watching a pre-season game, and I never do.

What spot are you picking? If you have the first 1 or 2 picks, by all means grab Chris Brown, or Adrian Peterson. Otherwise grab a quarterback. There are far fewer of them, and if they get hurt back-ups are much harder to find as opposed to RBs and WRs.

Fill positions. On the podcast, Paul Mecurio and I discussed this; a balanced team seems to work best. If you have four RBs that can get 15-20 points a game, it’s not very useful in a league where you can only start two.

Draft Kickers towards the end but not defenses. There are about 12 solid defensive units to choose from, and a good defense can get you 10-20 points on just a decent day under most scoring systems. Sometimes more.

Don’t worry about byes. By the time the first one comes up, you’ll likely have at least one stiff you can drop. A serviceable replacement can probably be found on the waiver wire.

Watch for committees. If two running backs are from the same team are close in the rankings on your cheat-sheet, beware. For example, D’Angelo Williams of the Carolina Panthers is number 9 on USA Today’s list, but teammate Jonathan Stewart is number 17. They were nearly identical in yards last year. Williams gained 1117, while Stewart amassed 1133. Stewart rushed for 10 scores, Williams 7. Both had injury issues.

Consider real life teammates. A guy like Drew Brees is a no-brainer if you’re looking for a top-flight QB, but he tends to spread the ball around more than say a Tony Romo. This is a similar predicament to the running back-by-committee situation.

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